Saturday, February 9, 2008

Buhl's Picks to Click (Version 2.9)

Alrighty, well after Wednesday, we're finally ahead of the game with a 7-6 record Against the Spread. Today's slate features a nice collection of games, including a national television game for the Wildcats.

Texas A&M @ Missouri (12:45 Central)
Line: Texas A&M -1.5

Listen, I hate Mark Turgeon as much as the next guy. Probably even moreso. And I would love nothing more than to see him fall flat on his face in this road game. That said, this line makes zero sense to me.

Missouri is a team in flux. Stefhon Hannah yesterday became the second Tiger arrested in an incident two weeks ago at a Columbia nightclub. While the Tigers players showed up well in a victory against Kansas State, Mike Anderson Jr. and J.T. Tiller just aren't going to carry the Tigers very far. The Aggies have a much bigger, deeper, talented, and more physical team and I think they take a bite out of the falling Tigers

Prediction: Texas A&M by 10
Who To Take: Texas A&M -1.5


Texas @ Iowa State (2:30 Central)
Line: Texas -5.5

See above. The Longhorns have had some struggles in Conference play, with a couple ugly losses. And Iowa State will likely still be without a healthy Wesley Johnson.

While Hilton Coliseum is always a tough place to play, the Longhorns have some veterans to lead them against a Cyclone team that hasn't shown an ability to play with anybody since getting hammered by Kansas two weeks ago.

Prediction: Texas by 16
Who To Take: Texas -5.5


Oklahoma @ Colorado (3:00 Central)
Line: Oklahoma -4

This is an interesting game to watch play out. It's a matchup that I think the Buffaloes could easily win, especially with Longar Longar likely done for awhile for the Sooners. But, as Colorado coach Jeff Bzdelik himself said, this team doesn't have enough depth to compete for the duration of the Conference schedule.

Colorado is really a two man guard oriented team, and the bruising low post game of the Sooners should be enough to cover on the road against a Colorado team that will be lucky to win another game this year.

Prediction: Oklahoma by 8
Who To Take: Oklahoma -4


Texas Tech @ Nebraska (3:00 Central)
Line: Nebraska -5

Nebraska put up a good fight against the Wildcats on Wednesday before eventually losing by 15. If Aleks Maric would have been able to stay out of the foul trouble caused by guarding Michael Beasley, that game could have been much closer.

The Red Raiders don't possess near the offensive firepower, particularly inside, that K-State did. After playing a very competitive game in Waco on Wednesday night, Pat Knight looks for his first win as the Texas Tech head coach. This should be a very competitive game.

Prediction: Nebraska by 1
Who To Take: Texas Tech +5


Oklahoma State @ Kansas State (5:00 Central)
Line: Kansas State -11.5

This is a lot of points to give against a team with the offensive firepower of the Cowboys. But, it appears to me that this team has given up on Coach Sean Sutton, and additionally hasn't won a road game in the Big XII yet this year.

Look for a fired up, emotional, and motivated Wildcat team to show up at Bramlage after attending the funeral of Vanessa Stewart this morning. Oklahoma State has the talent to keep up with the Wildcats, but in the end I think the atmosphere and the intangibles give K-State a huge advantage.

Prediction: Kansas State by 17
Who To Take: Kansas State -11.5


Baylor @ Kansas (7:00 Central)
Line: Kansas -16.5

The Bears are on of the few teams in the Conference with the guard play to keep up with Kansas. Additionally, they have big man Kevin Rogers who can pose matchup problems, even for a team with interior depth like Kansas.

I don't expect Baylor to win this game. In fact, the chances of that happening are very slim. But, win or lose this year the Bears haven't played a Conference game with a point spread of more than 8. That leads me to believe that, even in Allen Fieldhouse, this game will end up closer than predicted.

Prediction: Kansas by 11
Who To Take: Baylor +16.5

No comments: